Article

Sterling Silver Price Swings: When to Lock, When to Float

How to split silver quotes into metal and conversion, three locking patterns for volatile silver prices, and why gram weight is the number to check first.

Silver has been the hardest input to quote this year. Buyers who sign six-month price agreements at the wrong week can be five to eight percent apart from the market by the time production starts. The practical question is not whether silver will move, but which part of the cost you lock and which part you let float.

Split the quote into metal and conversion

Ask every silver supplier for two lines: metal value calculated on the day’s fixing at the exact gram weight of the piece, and conversion (labour, setting, plating, polishing, packaging) as a fixed figure. Conversion rarely moves more than a few percent in a year; metal can move that much in a month. Once the quote is split, you can negotiate the conversion on its own merits and manage the metal exposure deliberately.

Three locking patterns that work

Lock per order at order confirmation

The simplest contract: metal priced at the fixing of the day you confirm the purchase order. Works well when lead times are under six weeks. Both sides carry risk only for the production window.

Float with a cap

For repeat programmes, index the metal to the fixing at shipment, with a band: if silver moves more than eight percent either way, the difference is shared or the price is re-opened. This keeps the programme alive through volatility without renegotiating every PO.

Forward-buy the metal weight

Large, predictable programmes can buy the gram weight forward through their own channel and supply it, or agree a fixed gram price for a quarter. Only worth the administration above roughly 20 kilograms of silver per quarter.

Which pattern fits which situation
SituationRecommended patternWhy
One-off order, 6 week lead Lock at confirmation Simple, production window is short
Monthly replenishment Float with 8% cap Avoids monthly renegotiation
Programme above 20 kg silver per quarter Forward gram price Real hedging becomes worthwhile
New supplier, first order Lock at confirmation Tests honesty before sharing risk

Check the gram weight before comparing prices

Two silver pendants can differ by 40 percent in metal weight at the same visual size if one is hollow or lighter behind the setting. Ask for the gram weight per piece on every silver quote and compare price per gram of finished piece, not just unit price. This single line reveals more about a quote than any discount.

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